Monaro Panthersvs
Cooma Tigers FC
COMPLETEDAustralia · Capital Territory NPL · 9/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monaro Panthers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monaro Panthers 1-2 Cooma Tigers FC
Original prediction
Monaro Panthers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.7% | 45.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 23.9% | 19.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.4% | 35.4% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Monaro Panthers
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Monaro Panthers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80
GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20