Monarcasvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Monarcas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40