Monarcasvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/3/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Monarcas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00