Monarcasvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/29/2024, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Monarcas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60