Monarcasvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/10/2023, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Monarcas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00