Monarcasvs
Tepatitlán
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/3/2023, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Monarcas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 56.4-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60