GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monarcas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 69.4 against 68.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monarcas

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonarcasLLDLW

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWDWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MonarcasMineros de Zacatecas
88.9Attack100.0
55.6Defence41.7
66.7Form66.7
69.4Power68.8
2.03xG1.64
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