GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/31/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monarcas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 69.4 against 68.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monarcas

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonarcasLWDLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasDWWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MonarcasMineros de Zacatecas
88.9Attack100.0
55.6Defence41.7
66.7Form66.7
69.4Power68.8
2.03xG1.64
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