GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/18/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monarcas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 69.4 against 68.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monarcas

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonarcasLLWWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasDDWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MonarcasMineros de Zacatecas
88.9Attack100.0
55.6Defence41.7
66.7Form66.7
69.4Power68.8
2.03xG1.64
View match centre →