GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/29/2024, 12:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monarcas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 69.4 against 68.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monarcas

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonarcasWDLWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MonarcasMineros de Zacatecas
88.9Attack100.0
55.6Defence41.7
66.7Form66.7
69.4Power68.8
2.03xG1.64
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