GGOALVIO

Monarcas logoMonarcasvsLeones Negros UDG logoLeones Negros UDG

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/5/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monarcas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monarcas

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonarcasLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Leones Negros UDGLWWDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
88.9Attack77.8
55.6Defence44.4
66.7Form66.7
69.4Power63.5
1.98xG1.51
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