Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monarcas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dorados are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 69.4 against 68.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60