Monarcasvs
Correcaminos Uat
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monarcas are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40