GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monarcas are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monarcas

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonarcasDDDWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Correcaminos UatDLLWL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
88.9Attack91.7
55.6Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
69.4Power62.0
2.20xG1.61
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