GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/29/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monarcas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monarcas

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonarcasLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatDLWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
88.9Attack91.7
55.6Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
69.4Power62.0
2.20xG1.61
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