Monarcasvs
Correcaminos Uat
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/29/2025, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monarcas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00