Monarcasvs
Cimarrones
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/1/2024, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monarcas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cimarrones are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60