GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/11/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monarcas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monarcas

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonarcasWLDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CDS Tampico MaderoLLWWD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MonarcasCDS Tampico Madero
88.9Attack33.3
55.6Defence88.9
66.7Form44.4
69.4Power54.9
1.71xG1.12
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