GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/28/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monarcas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atlante FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonarcasLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Atlante FCWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
MonarcasAtlante FC
88.9Attack48.4
55.6Defence78.6
66.7Form63.5
69.4Power63.9
1.05xG1.26
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