Monarcasvs
Atlante FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/28/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Monarcas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atlante FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlante FC
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80