Monarcasvs
Atlante FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/24/2025, 1:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Monarcas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlante FC
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00