GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/25/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monarcas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonarcasLWWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
MonarcasAtlante FC
88.9Attack48.4
55.6Defence78.6
66.7Form63.5
69.4Power63.9
1.05xG1.26
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