Monarcasvs
Atlante FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/16/2023, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Monarcas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlante FC
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60