MonarcasvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Monarcas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.