GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 3/8/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monagas SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Monagas SC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Trujillanos FC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Monagas SC hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 28.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.7% in the Primera División, while Monagas SC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monagas SC

Probability

56.8%

Model confidence

16.7%

Monagas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monagas SCDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Trujillanos FCDDDDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Monagas SCTrujillanos FC
34.5Attack25.0
51.2Defence35.4
35.7Form14.6
43.1Power28.5
1.50xG0.64
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