Monagas SCvs
Puerto Cabello
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/24/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puerto Cabello · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monagas SC 1-2 Puerto Cabello
Original prediction
Puerto Cabello
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 06:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 30.3% | 28.4% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.7% | 28.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.0% | 43.6% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Puerto Cabello
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Puerto Cabello has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20