Monagas SCvs
Metropolitanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monagas SC 0-1 Metropolitanos FC
Original prediction
Metropolitanos FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.5% | 24.0% | -18.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.5% | 25.3% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.0% | 50.7% | 21.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Metropolitanos FC
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20