Monagas SCvs
Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monagas SC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monagas SC 2-1 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
Original prediction
Monagas SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 80.4% | 73.7% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.70 | 13.4% | 15.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 14.32 | 6.3% | 10.7% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Monagas SC
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
Monagas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60