GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 3/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monagas SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Monagas SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Caracas FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.1 against 43.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Primera División, while Monagas SC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monagas SC

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

14.8%

Monagas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monagas SCLWWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Caracas FCWDLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Monagas SCCaracas FC
34.5Attack39.6
51.2Defence50.0
35.7Form33.3
43.1Power43.5
1.11xG1.05
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