Monagas SCvs
Bolívar
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 9/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monagas SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monagas SC 5-1 Bolívar
Original prediction
Monagas SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.1% | 59.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.93 | 18.2% | 22.9% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 6.53 | 13.7% | 18.0% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Monagas SC
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Monagas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40