Monagas IIvs
Petare FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 10/18/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monagas II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Monagas II 0-0 Petare FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Monagas II 1-0 Petare FC
Original prediction
Monagas II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 39.4% | 40.5% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.4% | 28.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.2% | 30.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Monagas II 0–0 Petare FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Monagas II
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Monagas II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Monagas IIWLWWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Petare FCWDLWW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Monagas IIPetare FC
56.4Attack50.0
66.7Defence70.5
65.4Form60.3
64.5Power61.2
1.08xG0.90