Monagas IIvs
Mineros de Guyana
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/27/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monagas II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Monagas II 1-0 Mineros de Guyana, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Monagas II 2-1 Mineros de Guyana
Original prediction
Monagas II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.2% | 49.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 28.8% | 27.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.0% | 23.2% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
Monagas II 1–0 Mineros de Guyana
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Monagas II
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Monagas II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20