GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Segunda División · 3/7/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monagas II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Monagas II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Marítimo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Monagas II hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.6% in the Segunda División, while Monagas II holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monagas II

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

21.6%

Monagas II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monagas IILDWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MarítimoDDLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Monagas IIMarítimo
50.0Attack37.7
66.7Defence71.9
64.6Form53.5
63.1Power56.5
0.92xG0.67
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