Monagas IIvs
Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/13/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monagas II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Monagas II 1-0 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Monagas II 2-1 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
Original prediction
Monagas II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.5% | 44.6% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.9% | 29.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 21.6% | 25.9% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Projected Score
Monagas II 1–0 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Monagas II
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Monagas II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 1 · GA 18 · avg 0.20/3.60