Monagas IIvs
Bolívar
SCHEDULEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 8/16/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monagas II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Monagas II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bolívar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Monagas II hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.2% in the Segunda División, while Monagas II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monagas II
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
20.2%
Monagas II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60