GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Segunda División · 3/23/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monagas II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Monagas II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bolívar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Monagas II hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Segunda División, while Monagas II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monagas II

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Monagas II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monagas IIWWLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BolívarWLWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Monagas IIBolívar
50.0Attack31.4
66.7Defence66.7
64.6Form47.1
63.1Power50.9
1.11xG0.55
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