Monacovs
Gornik Zabrze
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monaco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monaco 4-1 Gornik Zabrze
Original prediction
Monaco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 68.4% | 51.8% | -16.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 18.9% | 24.3% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 7.31 | 12.7% | 23.9% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Monaco
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Monaco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40