Mombasa Elitevs
Kenya Police
COMPLETEDKenya · FKF Premier League · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kenya Police · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mombasa Elite 0-0 Kenya Police, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mombasa Elite 0-0 Kenya Police
Original prediction
Kenya Police
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.48 | 25.9% | 29.2% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.3% | 31.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.8% | 39.1% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Projected Score
Mombasa Elite 0–0 Kenya Police
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Kenya Police
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Kenya Police has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60