Mombasa Elitevs
Kariobangi Sharks
COMPLETEDKenya · FKF Premier League · 10/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mombasa Elite 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mombasa Elite 2-1 Kariobangi Sharks
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.7% | 36.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 31.3% | 32.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.0% | 31.2% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Mombasa Elite 0–0 Kariobangi Sharks
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.7%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mombasa EliteNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Kariobangi SharksWDDWD
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mombasa EliteKariobangi Sharks
50.0Attack29.4
50.0Defence67.6
50.0Form37.3
50.0Power46.2
0.87xG0.65