Mombasa Elitevs
Homeboyz
COMPLETEDKenya · FKF Premier League · 10/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mombasa Elite · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mombasa Elite 0-1 Homeboyz
Original prediction
Mombasa Elite
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.6% | 37.4% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.3% | 29.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 34.1% | 33.4% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Mombasa Elite
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Mombasa Elite has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00