GGOALVIO

Jamaica · Premier League · 10/19/2026, 10:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cavalier · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Molynes United 1-0 Cavalier

Original prediction

Cavalier

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 09:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.1417.6%23.4%5.8 pts
Draw4.0922.1%23.8%1.7 pts
Away1.5060.3%52.9%-7.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–29%

Predicted outcome

Cavalier

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

52.9%

Cavalier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Molynes UnitedLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CavalierLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Molynes UnitedCavalier
26.7Attack58.3
20.0Defence41.7
20.0Form58.3
25.0Power55.9
1.12xG1.95
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