Molodechno-DYuSSh 4vs
Niva
COMPLETEDBelarus · 1. Division · 10/17/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2-4 Niva
Original prediction
Niva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.6% | 16.9% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 17.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.7% | 65.6% | 19.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4LLWDW
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NivaWDWLW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Niva
47.4Attack75.0
42.1Defence66.7
47.4Form66.7
46.3Power68.0
0.97xG2.55