GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 4/9/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Baranovichi are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Baranovichi hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the 1. Division, while Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4DDLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BaranovichiWDDLD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Baranovichi
50.0Attack47.9
38.9Defence49.0
48.1Form50.0
46.4Power50.3
1.65xG1.64
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