Molinos El Piratavs
Union Comercio
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 10/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Comercio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Molinos El Pirata 0-0 Union Comercio, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Molinos El Pirata 1-0 Union Comercio
Original prediction
Union Comercio
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.0% | 29.6% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.2% | 29.8% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 37.8% | 40.6% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Molinos El Pirata 0–0 Union Comercio
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Union Comercio
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Union Comercio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20