Molinos El Piratavs
Union Comercio
SCHEDULEDPeru · Segunda División · 8/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Molinos El Pirata are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Union Comercio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Comercio hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
18.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80