Molinos El Piratavs
Minas
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Molinos El Pirata 0-0 Minas, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Molinos El Pirata 1-0 Minas
Original prediction
Minas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 35.8% | 30.6% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.7% | 29.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.5% | 39.5% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Molinos El Pirata 0–0 Minas
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Minas
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Minas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Molinos El PirataWLDLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MinasDLWDW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Molinos El PirataMinas
49.0Attack49.0
56.9Defence74.5
49.0Form49.0
53.0Power56.6
0.81xG1.17