Molinos El Piratavs
Carlos A. Mannucci
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 9/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Molinos El Pirata 0-0 Carlos A. Mannucci, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Molinos El Pirata 2-4 Carlos A. Mannucci
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.4% | 35.4% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.4% | 31.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.1% | 33.4% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Molinos El Pirata 0–0 Carlos A. Mannucci
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60