Molinos El Piratavs
Ayacucho FC
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 10/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molinos El Pirata · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Molinos El Pirata 2-0 Ayacucho FC
Original prediction
Molinos El Pirata
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 41.9% | 40.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.6% | 29.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.4% | 29.7% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Molinos El Pirata
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Molinos El Pirata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20