Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Molde W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Røa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde W hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 35.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Toppserien, while Molde W holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde W
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Molde W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80