Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Molde W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Lyn W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyn W hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Toppserien, while Lyn W holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyn W
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
10.0%
Lyn W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00