Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Molde are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Valerenga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
9.6%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40