Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Molde are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Silkeborg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Silkeborg hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80