Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Molde are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rosenborg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60